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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 11 September 2021

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

16 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 11 September 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Kristiansund BK vs Stabaek (Kristiansund BK over 1.5 goals) at 71% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 33%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway Kristiansund BK over 1.5 goals 71%
Kristiansund BK
– : – CANC
Stabaek
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway Bodo/Glimt over 1.5 goals 68%
Bodo/Glimt
– : – CANC
Stromsgodset
Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 53%
#3 Premier League Β· England Manchester United over 1.5 goals 65%
Manchester United
4 : 1 FT
Newcastle
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Antwerp over 1.5 goals 63%
AS Eupen
0 : 1 FT
Antwerp
Win 26%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 53%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 67%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway Haugesund over 1.5 goals 62%
Haugesund
– : – CANC
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Championship Β· England QPR over 1.5 goals 62%
Reading
3 : 3 FT
QPR
Win 22%
Draw 24%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#7 Championship Β· England Fulham over 1.5 goals 62%
Blackpool
1 : 0 FT
Fulham
Win 10%
Draw 22%
Win 68%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen over 1.5 goals 61%
Bayer Leverkusen
3 : 4 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#9 Championship Β· England West Brom over 1.5 goals 60%
West Brom
1 : 1 FT
Millwall
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany SC Freiburg over 1.5 goals 58%
SC Freiburg
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Eliteserien Β· Norway ODD Ballklubb over 1.5 goals 56%
ODD Ballklubb
– : – CANC
Tromso
Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#12 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Malmo FF over 1.5 goals 56%
Malmo FF
1 : 1 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#13 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Forge over 1.5 goals 56%
Forge
0 : 2 FT
York United
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%
#14 Premier League Β· England Chelsea over 1.5 goals 56%
Chelsea
3 : 0 FT
Aston Villa
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France Clermont Foot over 1.5 goals 55%
Paris Saint Germain
4 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 74%
#16 Bundesliga Β· Germany 1899 Hoffenheim over 1.5 goals 55%
1899 Hoffenheim
0 : 2 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 16 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 11 September 2021?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Kristiansund BK vs Stabaek (Kristiansund BK over 1.5 goals) at 71% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.