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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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FC Sion and FC ST. Gallen share the spoils in a 1-1 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

FC Sion and FC ST. Gallen finished level at 1-1 at Stade de Tourbillon, Regular Season - 31, in the Super League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting FC Sion 1.15 xG and FC ST. Gallen 1.16 xG, a combined 2.31. The scoreboard read 1-1 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of FC Sion attack 0.83 / defence 0.65 against FC ST. Gallen attack 1.21 / defence 0.80, drawn from 63/63 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it FC Sion 32% | Draw 35% | FC ST. Gallen 33%, with the draw its most likely call at 35%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 41%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 70% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 51% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (FC Sion 46%, FC ST. Gallen 56%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 62%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

FC Sion's trading profile (68 games, 34 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 59% of their matches — today it did.

FC ST. Gallen's trading profile (68 games, 34 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 66% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — FC Sion 1.31 PPG, FC ST. Gallen 1.57 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights