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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · Championship Group - 35

Kick-off

Sat 2 May 2026

19:30

Venue

St. Jakob-Park

Competition

Super League

Switzerland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Basel 1893 Win

35%

FC Basel 1893

2.83

30%

Draw

3.30

34%

FC Thun

2.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

0 – 1

8.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

FC Basel 1893 xG

Total xG

2.76

1.37

FC Thun xG

35%
30%
34%
FC Basel 1893DrawFC Thun

2.83

35%

Home win

3.30

30%

Draw

2.91

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.71

42%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

25%

FC Basel 1893

3.94

25%

FC Thun

4.02

Win to Nil

9%

FC Basel 1893

11.15

9%

FC Thun

11.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 8.7 5.9 2.7 0.9 0.3
1 8.8 12.0 8.3 3.8 1.3 0.4
2 6.1 8.4 5.7 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 2.8 3.9 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.392
λ Away (xG) 1.371
Total xG 2.763
League avg home goals 1.709
League avg away goals 1.428
FC Basel 1893 attack strength 0.970
FC Basel 1893 defence strength 0.882
FC Thun attack strength 1.089
FC Thun defence strength 0.840
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 33