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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Superettan · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Mon 21 Apr 2025

12:00

Venue

Paskbergsvallen

Competition

Superettan

Sweden

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Varbergs BoIS FC Win

53%

Varbergs BoIS FC

1.90

27%

Draw

3.75

21%

Umeå FC

4.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Varbergs BoIS FC xG

Total xG

2.27

0.80

Umeå FC xG

53%
27%
21%
Varbergs BoIS FCDrawUmeå FC

1.90

53%

Home win

3.75

27%

Draw

4.84

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.35

58%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

45%

Varbergs BoIS FC

2.23

23%

Umeå FC

4.32

Win to Nil

24%

Varbergs BoIS FC

4.24

5%

Umeå FC

20.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4 8.3 3.3 0.9 0.2
1 15.2 12.2 4.9 1.3 0.3
2 11.1 8.9 3.6 1.0 0.2
3 5.4 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 2.0 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.463
λ Away (xG) 0.804
Total xG 2.267
League avg home goals 1.273
League avg away goals 1.173
Varbergs BoIS FC attack strength 1.043
Varbergs BoIS FC defence strength 0.990
Umeå FC attack strength 0.693
Umeå FC defence strength 1.102
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 3