Utsikten 2-2 Landskrona BoIS – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Utsikten at 44%, yet other data sources diverge — this Utsikten vs Landskrona BoIS fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Full Analysis
Bravida Arena plays host to Utsikten versus Landskrona BoIS in Superettan, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off: Wednesday 18 May 2022 at 18:00 UTC.
Form & Momentum
Landskrona BoIS's overall Superettan record this term: 3W 1D 6L from 10 games (1.00 PPG). Last five: L L L W L. Their scoring rate of 1.20 per game is modest, conceding 1.50 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation.
Landskrona BoIS's form when playing away from home: 0W 1D 9L across 10 road games this term (0.10 PPG). Away from home they average 0.70 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. Their away PPG of 0.10 is notably below their overall 1.00 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Utsikten 1.68 xG and Landskrona BoIS 1.41 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Utsikten attack 1.123 / defence 1.203 | Landskrona BoIS attack 0.839 / defence 0.950. League average goals — home 1.575 / away 1.399. Data: 7 Utsikten games / 37 Landskrona BoIS games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Utsikten 44% | Draw 24% | Landskrona BoIS 32%. Fair-value odds: Utsikten 2.27 | Draw 4.17 | Landskrona BoIS 3.12. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 24% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 60% | BTTS probability 62% | Total xG 3.09. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 60% — the 3.09 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS Yes at 62% reflects that both xG figures (1.68 / 1.41) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates Utsikten as the most likely outcome at 44% — marginal model lean. Draw probability of 24% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Utsikten if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 32% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 3.09 combined xG gives a 60% probability to Over 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration.
The outsider holds a 32% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Utsikten vs Landskrona BoIS | Competition: Superettan, Regular Season - 8 | Venue: Bravida Arena • Kick-off: Wednesday 18 May 2022, 18:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Utsikten 44% | Draw 24% | Landskrona BoIS 32% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 60% | BTTS 62% | xG Utsikten 1.68 / Landskrona BoIS 1.41 • Poisson strength factors: Utsikten attack 1.123 / def 1.203 | Landskrona BoIS attack 0.839 / def 0.950 | league avg home 1.575 / away 1.399 • Poisson stance: Utsikten (44%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.68
Utsikten xG
Expected Goals
1.41
Landskrona BoIS xG
62%
BTTS
82%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
37%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Utsikten vs Landskrona BoIS kick off?
Utsikten vs Landskrona BoIS kicked off at 18:00 on Wednesday 18 May 2022 at Bravida Arena.
What was the final score in Utsikten vs Landskrona BoIS?
Utsikten 2 - 2 Landskrona BoIS.
Where is Utsikten vs Landskrona BoIS being played?
The match is being played at Bravida Arena.
What competition is Utsikten vs Landskrona BoIS part of?
Utsikten vs Landskrona BoIS is a Regular Season - 8 fixture in the Superettan (Sweden).
Who is favourite to win Utsikten vs Landskrona BoIS?
Our statistical model gives Utsikten a 44% chance of winning, Landskrona BoIS a 32% chance, and a 24% chance of a draw — making Utsikten the favourite.
Will both teams score in Utsikten vs Landskrona BoIS?
Our model estimates a 62% probability that both Utsikten and Landskrona BoIS will score (BTTS).
Will Utsikten vs Landskrona BoIS have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 60%.
What is the head-to-head record between Utsikten and Landskrona BoIS?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Utsikten and Landskrona BoIS in?
Landskrona BoIS (all comps): 3W-1D-6L in 10 | 1.00 PPG | GF 1.20 / GA 1.50 | L5 L-L-L-W-L. Landskrona BoIS away split: 0.10 PPG from 10 | GF 0.70 / GA 1.80 | CS 0.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Utsikten's attacking strength (1.12x league average) is weighed against Landskrona BoIS's defensive record (0.95x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.68. Flip it around — Landskrona BoIS's attack (0.84x) against Utsikten's defence (1.20x) — and the away total comes out at 1.41.
These ratings are built from 7/37 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 12.2%. Close behind: 2-1 (9.0%), 1-2 (7.6%). Together the top three scorelines make up 29% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
Utsikten Win
44%
2.29
24%
4.15
32%
3.11
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.8%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.0%
Home win
1 – 0
7.6%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.68
Utsikten xG
Total xG
3.09
1.41
Landskrona BoIS xG
2.29
44%
Home win
4.15
24%
Draw
3.11
32%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
60%
Over 2.5
1.67
40%
Under 2.5
2.50
37%
Over 3.5
2.70
63%
Under 3.5
1.59
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
62%
BTTS Yes
1.62
38%
BTTS No
2.62
Clean Sheet
24%
4.11
19%
5.37
Win to Nil
11%
9.39
6%
16.70
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5 | 6.4 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.6 | 10.8 | 7.6 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.4 | 9.0 | 6.4 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.6 | 5.1 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Utsikten vs Landskrona BoIS?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.2%.
How many goals are Utsikten and Landskrona BoIS expected to score?
The model projects 1.68 expected goals for Utsikten and 1.41 for Landskrona BoIS, a combined total of 3.09.
How confident is the prediction model for Utsikten vs Landskrona BoIS?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 44%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
Last 0 Results — Superettan
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Utsikten
Pre-Season
Landskrona BoIS
Pre-Season
No results found.
No results found.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 8 times since May 2022 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Superettan. They last met on 20 September 2025, roughly 10 months ago.
Records & Recent Trends
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: Utsikten won 5-1 on 12 Aug 2023, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, Utsikten have gone 3W 1D 0L from 4 meetings on their own ground against Landskrona BoIS — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 8 Meetings
4
Utsikten
1
Draws
3
Landskrona BoIS
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Utsikten and Landskrona BoIS?
From 8 meetings on record, Utsikten have won 4, Landskrona BoIS have won 3, and 1 have been drawn.
When did Utsikten and Landskrona BoIS last play each other?
They last met on 20 September 2025, when Utsikten 4-0 Landskrona BoIS.
Who has won more matches between Utsikten and Landskrona BoIS?
Utsikten have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 8 meetings.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Utsikten home games / Landskrona BoIS away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
Utsikten and Landskrona BoIS share the spoils in a 2-2 draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
The points were shared at Bravida Arena, Regular Season - 8, as Utsikten and Landskrona BoIS drew 2-2 in the Superettan. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Utsikten 1.68 xG and Landskrona BoIS 1.41 xG, a combined 3.09. The scoreboard read 2-2 for 4 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Utsikten attack 1.12 / defence 1.20 against Landskrona BoIS attack 0.84 / defence 0.95, drawn from 7/37 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Utsikten 44% | Draw 24% | Landskrona BoIS 32%, with Utsikten to win its most likely call at 44%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 24% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 60%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 82% and landed. Over 3.5 was 37% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 62% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.