Stockholm Internazionale vs GIF Sundsvall – Match Report

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as GIF Sundsvall edge out Stockholm Internazionale 0-1.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

GIF Sundsvall beat Stockholm Internazionale 0-1 at Hammarby IP, Relegation Round, in the Superettan. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Stockholm Internazionale 1.18 xG and GIF Sundsvall 1.21 xG, a combined 2.39. The scoreboard read 0-1 for 1 actual goal. Stockholm Internazionale fell 1.2 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Stockholm Internazionale attack 0.85 / defence 1.15 against GIF Sundsvall attack 0.88 / defence 0.96, drawn from 0/60 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Stockholm Internazionale 34% | Draw 30% | GIF Sundsvall 36%, with GIF Sundsvall to win its most likely call at 36%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 43%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 70% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights