Stockholm Internazionale vs GIF Sundsvall – Predictions
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🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
The model rates Stockholm Internazionale's attack at 0.85x the league average against GIF Sundsvall's defence at 0.96x — combine the two and it projects 1.18 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — GIF Sundsvall's attack (0.88x) against Stockholm Internazionale's defence (1.15x) — and the away total comes out at 1.21.
These ratings are built from 0/60 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 14.8% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 0-0 (10.9%), 0-1 (9.4%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 35% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
GIF Sundsvall Win
34%
2.92
30%
3.32
36%
2.80
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 β 1
13.1%
Draw
Most likely
0 β 1
11.1%
Away win
1 β 0
10.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.18
Stockholm Internazionale xG
Total xG
2.39
1.21
GIF Sundsvall xG
2.92
34%
Home win
3.32
30%
Draw
2.80
36%
Away win
Goals Markets
69%
Over 1.5
1.45
31%
Under 1.5
3.23
43%
Over 2.5
2.33
57%
Under 2.5
1.75
22%
Over 3.5
4.55
78%
Under 3.5
1.28
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
2.01
50%
BTTS No
1.99
Clean Sheet
30%
3.35
31%
3.25
Win to Nil
10%
9.80
11%
9.11
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.2 | 11.1 | 6.7 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 10.8 | 13.1 | 7.9 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.4 | 7.7 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Stockholm Internazionale vs GIF Sundsvall?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.8%.
How many goals are Stockholm Internazionale and GIF Sundsvall expected to score?
The model projects 1.18 expected goals for Stockholm Internazionale and 1.21 for GIF Sundsvall, a combined total of 2.39.
How confident is the prediction model for Stockholm Internazionale vs GIF Sundsvall?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 36%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.