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Stockholm Internazionale vs GIF Sundsvall – Predictions

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Superettan · Relegation Round

Kick-off

Thu 21 Nov 2024

18:00

Venue

Hammarby IP

Competition

Superettan

Sweden

Status

FT

🧮 Model Insight

Behind the Numbers

The model rates Stockholm Internazionale's attack at 0.85x the league average against GIF Sundsvall's defence at 0.96x — combine the two and it projects 1.18 expected goals for the hosts. Flip it around — GIF Sundsvall's attack (0.88x) against Stockholm Internazionale's defence (1.15x) — and the away total comes out at 1.21.

These ratings are built from 0/60 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.

Scoreline Breakdown

Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 14.8% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 0-0 (10.9%), 0-1 (9.4%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 35% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.

Most Likely Outcome

GIF Sundsvall Win

34%

Stockholm Internazionale

2.92

30%

Draw

3.32

36%

GIF Sundsvall

2.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.1%

Away win

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Stockholm Internazionale xG

Total xG

2.39

1.21

GIF Sundsvall xG

34%
30%
36%
Stockholm InternazionaleDrawGIF Sundsvall

2.92

34%

Home win

3.32

30%

Draw

2.80

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

30%

Stockholm Internazionale

3.35

31%

GIF Sundsvall

3.25

Win to Nil

10%

Stockholm Internazionale

9.80

11%

GIF Sundsvall

9.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 11.1 6.7 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 10.8 13.1 7.9 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.4 7.7 4.7 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 2.5 3.0 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.179
λ Away (xG) 1.210
Total xG 2.389
League avg home goals 1.439
League avg away goals 1.194
Stockholm Internazionale attack strength 0.850
Stockholm Internazionale defence strength 1.150
GIF Sundsvall attack strength 0.881
GIF Sundsvall defence strength 0.964
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 0 / 60

❓ Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most likely scoreline for Stockholm Internazionale vs GIF Sundsvall?

Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.8%.

How many goals are Stockholm Internazionale and GIF Sundsvall expected to score?

The model projects 1.18 expected goals for Stockholm Internazionale and 1.21 for GIF Sundsvall, a combined total of 2.39.

How confident is the prediction model for Stockholm Internazionale vs GIF Sundsvall?

Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 36%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.