Most Likely Outcome
Degerfors IF Win
27%
3.72
22%
4.48
51%
1.97
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 2
9.0%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
8.5%
Draw
2 – 2
6.8%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.51
Vasteras SK FK xG
Total xG
3.62
2.11
Degerfors IF xG
Vasteras SK FKDrawDegerfors IF
3.72
27%
Home win
4.48
22%
Draw
1.97
51%
Away win
Goals Markets
88%
Over 1.5
1.14
12%
Under 1.5
8.33
70%
Over 2.5
1.43
30%
Under 2.5
3.33
49%
Over 3.5
2.04
51%
Under 3.5
1.96
30%
Over 4.5
3.33
70%
Under 4.5
1.43
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
69%
BTTS Yes
1.45
31%
BTTS No
3.24
Clean Sheet
12%
8.25
22%
4.52
Win to Nil
3%
30.72
11%
8.90
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.7 | 5.7 | 6.0 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| 1 | 4.0 | 8.5 | 9.0 | 6.3 | 3.3 | 1.4 |
| 2 | 3.1 | 6.4 | 6.8 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| 3 | 1.5 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.509
λ Away (xG)
2.110
Total xG
3.619
League avg home goals
1.697
League avg away goals
1.548
Vasteras SK FK attack strength
1.006
Vasteras SK FK defence strength
1.368
Degerfors IF attack strength
0.997
Degerfors IF defence strength
0.884
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
11 / 41