Most Likely Outcome
AIK Stockholm Win
35%
2.83
29%
3.42
35%
2.82
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.8%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
10.2%
Away win
1 – 0
10.2%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.26
Mjallby AIF xG
Total xG
2.51
1.26
AIK Stockholm xG
Mjallby AIFDrawAIK Stockholm
2.83
35%
Home win
3.42
29%
Draw
2.82
35%
Away win
Goals Markets
72%
Over 1.5
1.39
28%
Under 1.5
3.57
46%
Over 2.5
2.17
54%
Under 2.5
1.85
25%
Over 3.5
4.00
75%
Under 3.5
1.33
11%
Over 4.5
9.09
89%
Under 4.5
1.12
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.91
48%
BTTS No
2.10
Clean Sheet
28%
3.52
28%
3.51
Win to Nil
10%
9.94
10%
9.93
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.1 | 10.2 | 6.4 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 10.2 | 12.8 | 8.0 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.4 | 8.0 | 5.1 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.257
λ Away (xG)
1.258
Total xG
2.515
League avg home goals
1.658
League avg away goals
1.517
Mjallby AIF attack strength
0.860
Mjallby AIF defence strength
0.825
AIK Stockholm attack strength
1.004
AIK Stockholm defence strength
0.881
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
41 / 41