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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Fri 18 Apr 2025

14:00

Venue

Eleda Stadion

Competition

Allsvenskan

Sweden

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Malmo FF Win

47%

Malmo FF

2.15

25%

Draw

4.02

29%

Sirius

3.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Malmo FF xG

Total xG

2.77

1.19

Sirius xG

47%
25%
29%
Malmo FFDrawSirius

2.15

47%

Home win

4.02

25%

Draw

3.50

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

31%

Malmo FF

3.27

21%

Sirius

4.87

Win to Nil

14%

Malmo FF

7.03

6%

Sirius

17.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 7.4 4.4 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 9.9 11.8 7.0 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.9 9.3 5.5 2.2 0.6 0.2
3 4.1 4.9 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.6 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.583
λ Away (xG) 1.186
Total xG 2.769
League avg home goals 1.288
League avg away goals 1.173
Malmo FF attack strength 1.186
Malmo FF defence strength 0.920
Sirius attack strength 1.100
Sirius defence strength 1.036
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 33 / 33