Landskrona BoIS vs IFK Varnamo – Predictions
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🧮 Model Insight
How the Model Works This Match
Working from Landskrona BoIS's attack rating (0.85) and IFK Varnamo's defence rating (0.73), the model arrives at 0.88 expected goals for the home side. The same calculation in reverse, IFK Varnamo's attack versus Landskrona BoIS's defence, projects 1.13 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 0/60 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 0-0 emerges as the single most likely result, at 15.1%. Close behind: 1-1 (15.0%), 0-1 (13.4%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 44% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
IFK Varnamo Win
28%
3.55
30%
3.29
41%
2.41
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
15.2%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 0
13.4%
Draw
1 – 1
13.3%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.88
Landskrona BoIS xG
Total xG
2.01
1.13
IFK Varnamo xG
3.55
28%
Home win
3.29
30%
Draw
2.41
41%
Away win
Goals Markets
60%
Over 1.5
1.67
40%
Under 1.5
2.50
33%
Over 2.5
3.03
67%
Under 2.5
1.49
15%
Over 3.5
6.67
85%
Under 3.5
1.18
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
40%
BTTS Yes
2.52
60%
BTTS No
1.66
Clean Sheet
32%
3.11
42%
2.41
Win to Nil
9%
11.04
17%
5.80
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.4 | 15.2 | 8.6 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 11.7 | 13.3 | 7.5 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 5.2 | 5.8 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Landskrona BoIS vs IFK Varnamo?
Our Poisson model rates 0-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 15.1%.
How many goals are Landskrona BoIS and IFK Varnamo expected to score?
The model projects 0.88 expected goals for Landskrona BoIS and 1.13 for IFK Varnamo, a combined total of 2.01.
How confident is the prediction model for Landskrona BoIS vs IFK Varnamo?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 41%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.