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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

14:00

Venue

Borås Arena

Competition

Allsvenskan

Sweden

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

IF Elfsborg Win

56%

IF Elfsborg

1.80

19%

Draw

5.29

26%

Degerfors IF

3.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 2

6.8%

Draw

3 – 1

6.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.51

IF Elfsborg xG

Total xG

4.21

1.70

Degerfors IF xG

56%
19%
26%
IF ElfsborgDrawDegerfors IF

1.80

56%

Home win

5.29

19%

Draw

3.92

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

92%

Over 1.5

1.09

8%

Under 1.5

12.50

79%

Over 2.5

1.27

21%

Under 2.5

4.76

61%

Over 3.5

1.64

39%

Under 3.5

2.56

41%

Over 4.5

2.44

59%

Under 4.5

1.69

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

75%

BTTS Yes

1.33

25%

BTTS No

4.02

Clean Sheet

18%

IF Elfsborg

5.47

8%

Degerfors IF

12.33

Win to Nil

10%

IF Elfsborg

9.84

2%

Degerfors IF

48.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.5 2.5 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.2
1 3.7 6.3 5.4 3.0 1.3 0.4
2 4.7 8.0 6.8 3.8 1.6 0.6
3 3.9 6.7 5.7 3.2 1.4 0.5
4 2.5 4.2 3.6 2.0 0.9 0.3
5 1.2 2.1 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.512
λ Away (xG) 1.699
Total xG 4.211
League avg home goals 1.416
League avg away goals 1.379
IF Elfsborg attack strength 1.274
IF Elfsborg defence strength 1.211
Degerfors IF attack strength 1.018
Degerfors IF defence strength 1.392
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 24