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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 22 Feb 2026

20:00

Venue

Estadio de la Ceramica

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Villarreal Win

61%

Villarreal

1.65

22%

Draw

4.47

17%

Valencia

5.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

9.7%

Home win

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.08

Villarreal xG

Total xG

3.10

1.02

Valencia xG

61%
22%
17%
VillarrealDrawValencia

1.65

61%

Home win

4.47

22%

Draw

5.92

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.32

Clean Sheet

36%

Villarreal

2.78

13%

Valencia

7.98

Win to Nil

22%

Villarreal

4.57

2%

Valencia

47.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 4.6 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 9.4 9.6 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.7 9.9 5.1 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 6.7 6.9 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 3.5 3.6 1.8 0.6 0.2
5 1.5 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.077
λ Away (xG) 1.021
Total xG 3.098
League avg home goals 1.513
League avg away goals 1.129
Villarreal attack strength 1.261
Villarreal defence strength 0.944
Valencia attack strength 0.959
Valencia defence strength 1.088
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62