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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sat 22 Nov 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio de la Ceramica

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Villarreal Win

69%

Villarreal

1.45

18%

Draw

5.60

13%

Mallorca

7.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.33

Villarreal xG

Total xG

3.25

0.92

Mallorca xG

69%
18%
13%
VillarrealDrawMallorca

1.45

69%

Home win

5.60

18%

Draw

7.55

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

40%

Villarreal

2.51

10%

Mallorca

10.29

Win to Nil

27%

Villarreal

3.64

1%

Mallorca

77.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 3.6 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 9.0 8.3 3.8 1.2 0.3
2 10.5 9.7 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 8.2 7.5 3.5 1.1 0.2
4 4.8 4.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
5 2.2 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.331
λ Away (xG) 0.919
Total xG 3.250
League avg home goals 1.408
League avg away goals 1.118
Villarreal attack strength 1.444
Villarreal defence strength 0.840
Mallorca attack strength 0.979
Mallorca defence strength 1.147
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50