Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 20 Apr 2025

13:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Osasuna Win

21%

Valladolid

4.81

31%

Draw

3.20

48%

Osasuna

2.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

18.9%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

16.3%

Draw

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.65

Valladolid xG

Total xG

1.81

1.16

Osasuna xG

21%
31%
48%
ValladolidDrawOsasuna

4.81

21%

Home win

3.20

31%

Draw

2.09

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

54%

Over 1.5

1.85

46%

Under 1.5

2.17

27%

Over 2.5

3.70

73%

Under 2.5

1.37

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

33%

BTTS Yes

3.04

67%

BTTS No

1.49

Clean Sheet

31%

Valladolid

3.18

52%

Osasuna

1.92

Win to Nil

7%

Valladolid

15.31

25%

Osasuna

4.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.3 18.9 11.0 4.2 1.2 0.3
1 10.7 12.4 7.2 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 3.5 4.0 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
3 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
4 0.1 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.653
λ Away (xG) 1.158
Total xG 1.811
League avg home goals 1.327
League avg away goals 1.239
Valladolid attack strength 0.543
Valladolid defence strength 1.440
Osasuna attack strength 0.649
Osasuna defence strength 0.907
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 31 / 69