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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 18 May 2025

18:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Alaves Win

17%

Valladolid

5.77

24%

Draw

4.25

59%

Alaves

1.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.7%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

11.8%

Away win

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.81

Valladolid xG

Total xG

2.53

1.72

Alaves xG

17%
24%
59%
ValladolidDrawAlaves

5.77

17%

Home win

4.25

24%

Draw

1.69

59%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.19

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

18%

Valladolid

5.60

45%

Alaves

2.25

Win to Nil

3%

Valladolid

32.34

26%

Alaves

3.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 13.7 11.8 6.8 2.9 1.0
1 6.4 11.1 9.5 5.5 2.4 0.8
2 2.6 4.5 3.9 2.2 1.0 0.3
3 0.7 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.809
λ Away (xG) 1.723
Total xG 2.532
League avg home goals 1.384
League avg away goals 1.164
Valladolid attack strength 0.595
Valladolid defence strength 1.483
Alaves attack strength 0.998
Alaves defence strength 0.981
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 74