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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 22 Dec 2024

13:00

Venue

Estadio de Mestalla

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Valencia Win

52%

Valencia

1.91

23%

Draw

4.32

24%

Alaves

4.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Valencia xG

Total xG

2.96

1.16

Alaves xG

52%
23%
24%
ValenciaDrawAlaves

1.91

52%

Home win

4.32

23%

Draw

4.09

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.34

Clean Sheet

31%

Valencia

3.18

17%

Alaves

6.04

Win to Nil

16%

Valencia

6.08

4%

Alaves

24.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 6.0 3.5 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 9.4 10.8 6.3 2.4 0.7 0.2
2 8.4 9.7 5.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
3 5.0 5.8 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.3 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.799
λ Away (xG) 1.158
Total xG 2.957
League avg home goals 1.415
League avg away goals 1.147
Valencia attack strength 1.045
Valencia defence strength 1.084
Alaves attack strength 0.931
Alaves defence strength 1.217
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 55