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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 14 Feb 2026

17:30

Venue

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sevilla Win

43%

Sevilla

2.35

30%

Draw

3.31

27%

Alaves

3.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Sevilla xG

Total xG

2.37

1.03

Alaves xG

43%
30%
27%
SevillaDrawAlaves

2.35

43%

Home win

3.31

30%

Draw

3.67

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

36%

Sevilla

2.79

26%

Alaves

3.82

Win to Nil

15%

Sevilla

6.56

7%

Alaves

14.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 9.6 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 12.6 12.9 6.6 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.4 8.6 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.8 3.9 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.340
λ Away (xG) 1.026
Total xG 2.366
League avg home goals 1.486
League avg away goals 1.125
Sevilla attack strength 0.886
Sevilla defence strength 1.147
Alaves attack strength 0.796
Alaves defence strength 1.018
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61