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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 15 Mar 2026

20:00

Venue

Reale Arena

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Sociedad Win

44%

Real Sociedad

2.29

27%

Draw

3.64

29%

Osasuna

3.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Real Sociedad xG

Total xG

2.50

1.10

Osasuna xG

44%
27%
29%
Real SociedadDrawOsasuna

2.29

44%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

3.46

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

33%

Real Sociedad

3.00

24%

Osasuna

4.09

Win to Nil

15%

Real Sociedad

6.86

7%

Osasuna

14.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 9.0 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 11.5 12.6 6.9 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.1 8.9 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.8 4.2 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 1.3 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.408
λ Away (xG) 1.097
Total xG 2.505
League avg home goals 1.537
League avg away goals 1.120
Real Sociedad attack strength 1.179
Real Sociedad defence strength 1.221
Osasuna attack strength 0.802
Osasuna defence strength 0.777
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65