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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 14 Feb 2026

20:00

Venue

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Real Madrid Win

56%

Real Madrid

1.78

26%

Draw

3.85

18%

Real Sociedad

5.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.76

Real Madrid xG

Total xG

2.66

0.90

Real Sociedad xG

56%
26%
18%
Real MadridDrawReal Sociedad

1.78

56%

Home win

3.85

26%

Draw

5.64

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.98

49%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

41%

Real Madrid

2.47

17%

Real Sociedad

5.82

Win to Nil

23%

Real Madrid

4.38

3%

Real Sociedad

32.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 6.3 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 12.3 11.1 5.0 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.8 9.8 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 6.3 5.7 2.6 0.8 0.2
4 2.8 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.761
λ Away (xG) 0.903
Total xG 2.664
League avg home goals 1.484
League avg away goals 1.124
Real Madrid attack strength 1.293
Real Madrid defence strength 0.800
Real Sociedad attack strength 1.004
Real Sociedad defence strength 0.918
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61