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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Real Madrid Win
65%
1.54
18%
5.62
17%
5.77
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.2%
Home win
Most likely
3 – 1
7.7%
Home win
2 – 0
7.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.51
Real Madrid xG
Total xG
3.76
1.25
Alaves xG
Real MadridDrawAlaves
1.54
65%
Home win
5.62
18%
Draw
5.77
17%
Away win
Goals Markets
89%
Over 1.5
1.12
11%
Under 1.5
9.09
72%
Over 2.5
1.39
28%
Under 2.5
3.57
52%
Over 3.5
1.92
48%
Under 3.5
2.08
32%
Over 4.5
3.12
68%
Under 4.5
1.47
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
65%
BTTS Yes
1.53
35%
BTTS No
2.90
Clean Sheet
29%
3.48
8%
12.30
Win to Nil
19%
5.36
1%
71.04
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 5.9 | 7.3 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 7.4 | 9.2 | 5.7 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 6.2 | 7.7 | 4.8 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 3.9 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.510
λ Away (xG)
1.247
Total xG
3.757
League avg home goals
1.546
League avg away goals
1.117
Real Madrid attack strength
1.327
Real Madrid defence strength
0.973
Alaves attack strength
1.148
Alaves defence strength
1.223
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
69 / 69