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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

18:00

Venue

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rayo Vallecano Win

42%

Rayo Vallecano

2.36

27%

Draw

3.65

30%

Villarreal

3.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Rayo Vallecano xG

Total xG

2.40

1.07

Villarreal xG

42%
27%
30%
Rayo VallecanoDrawVillarreal

2.36

42%

Home win

3.65

27%

Draw

3.30

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

34%

Rayo Vallecano

2.93

27%

Villarreal

3.76

Win to Nil

14%

Rayo Vallecano

6.92

8%

Villarreal

12.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 9.8 5.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 12.0 12.9 6.9 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 8.0 8.6 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.5 3.8 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.2 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.324
λ Away (xG) 1.075
Total xG 2.399
League avg home goals 1.516
League avg away goals 1.149
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.916
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 0.906
Villarreal attack strength 1.033
Villarreal defence strength 0.954
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74