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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 24 Jan 2026

13:00

Venue

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rayo Vallecano Win

43%

Rayo Vallecano

2.31

37%

Draw

2.72

20%

Osasuna

5.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

20.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

20.5%

Home win

0 – 1

12.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.00

Rayo Vallecano xG

Total xG

1.58

0.59

Osasuna xG

43%
37%
20%
Rayo VallecanoDrawOsasuna

2.31

43%

Home win

2.72

37%

Draw

5.02

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

47%

Over 1.5

2.13

53%

Under 1.5

1.89

21%

Over 2.5

4.76

79%

Under 2.5

1.27

8%

Over 3.5

12.50

92%

Under 3.5

1.09

2%

Over 4.5

50.00

98%

Under 4.5

1.02

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

29%

BTTS Yes

3.42

71%

BTTS No

1.41

Clean Sheet

56%

Rayo Vallecano

1.80

37%

Osasuna

2.71

Win to Nil

24%

Rayo Vallecano

4.16

7%

Osasuna

13.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 20.5 12.0 3.5 0.7 0.1
1 20.5 12.0 3.5 0.7 0.1
2 10.2 6.0 1.8 0.3 0.1
3 3.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 0.8 0.5 0.1
5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.997
λ Away (xG) 0.587
Total xG 1.584
League avg home goals 1.436
League avg away goals 1.106
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.751
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 0.817
Osasuna attack strength 0.650
Osasuna defence strength 0.924
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58