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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Mon 16 Mar 2026

20:00

Venue

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rayo Vallecano Win

57%

Rayo Vallecano

1.75

24%

Draw

4.11

18%

Levante

5.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

2 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Rayo Vallecano xG

Total xG

2.61

0.88

Levante xG

57%
24%
18%
Rayo VallecanoDrawLevante

1.75

57%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

5.42

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.06

51%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

41%

Rayo Vallecano

2.41

18%

Levante

5.66

Win to Nil

24%

Rayo Vallecano

4.21

3%

Levante

30.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 6.4 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 12.7 11.2 4.9 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 11.0 9.7 4.3 1.3 0.3
3 6.4 5.6 2.5 0.7 0.2
4 2.8 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.734
λ Away (xG) 0.880
Total xG 2.614
League avg home goals 1.548
League avg away goals 1.119
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.965
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 0.869
Levante attack strength 0.904
Levante defence strength 1.161
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 27