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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Mon 11 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rayo Vallecano Win

46%

Rayo Vallecano

2.18

28%

Draw

3.58

26%

Girona

3.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

10.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Rayo Vallecano xG

Total xG

2.26

0.93

Girona xG

46%
28%
26%
Rayo VallecanoDrawGirona

2.18

46%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

3.82

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

39%

Rayo Vallecano

2.54

26%

Girona

3.78

Win to Nil

18%

Rayo Vallecano

5.53

7%

Girona

14.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4 9.7 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 13.9 12.9 6.0 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 9.2 8.6 4.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 4.1 3.8 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.3 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.329
λ Away (xG) 0.931
Total xG 2.260
League avg home goals 1.522
League avg away goals 1.149
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.930
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 0.899
Girona attack strength 0.900
Girona defence strength 0.939
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72