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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Fri 3 Apr 2026

20:00

Venue

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rayo Vallecano Win

61%

Rayo Vallecano

1.63

22%

Draw

4.53

16%

Elche

6.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.4%

Home win

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.89

Rayo Vallecano xG

Total xG

2.75

0.86

Elche xG

61%
22%
16%
Rayo VallecanoDrawElche

1.63

61%

Home win

4.53

22%

Draw

6.08

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

42%

Rayo Vallecano

2.36

15%

Elche

6.60

Win to Nil

26%

Rayo Vallecano

3.84

2%

Elche

40.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 5.5 2.4 0.7 0.1
1 12.1 10.4 4.5 1.3 0.3
2 11.4 9.8 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 7.2 6.2 2.7 0.8 0.2
4 3.4 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.887
λ Away (xG) 0.859
Total xG 2.746
League avg home goals 1.567
League avg away goals 1.153
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.904
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 0.862
Elche attack strength 0.864
Elche defence strength 1.331
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 29