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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

17:30

Venue

Estadio El Sadar

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Osasuna Win

65%

Osasuna

1.54

23%

Draw

4.41

12%

Oviedo

8.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.05

Osasuna xG

Total xG

2.86

0.81

Oviedo xG

65%
23%
12%
OsasunaDrawOviedo

1.54

65%

Home win

4.41

23%

Draw

8.10

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

45%

Osasuna

2.24

13%

Oviedo

7.80

Win to Nil

29%

Osasuna

3.45

2%

Oviedo

63.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 4.6 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 11.7 9.5 3.8 1.0 0.2
2 12.1 9.7 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 8.3 6.7 2.7 0.7 0.1
4 4.2 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 1.7 1.4 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.054
λ Away (xG) 0.808
Total xG 2.862
League avg home goals 1.412
League avg away goals 1.118
Osasuna attack strength 1.101
Osasuna defence strength 1.006
Oviedo attack strength 0.718
Oviedo defence strength 1.321
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 19