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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 21 Mar 2026

17:30

Venue

Estadio El Sadar

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Osasuna Win

48%

Osasuna

2.08

25%

Draw

4.06

27%

Girona

3.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.74

Osasuna xG

Total xG

3.00

1.26

Girona xG

48%
25%
27%
OsasunaDrawGirona

2.08

48%

Home win

4.06

25%

Draw

3.66

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.48

Clean Sheet

28%

Osasuna

3.54

18%

Girona

5.68

Win to Nil

14%

Osasuna

7.38

5%

Girona

20.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 6.3 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 8.6 10.9 6.9 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 9.5 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 4.3 5.5 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.9 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.737
λ Away (xG) 1.264
Total xG 3.001
League avg home goals 1.553
League avg away goals 1.125
Osasuna attack strength 1.135
Osasuna defence strength 1.141
Girona attack strength 0.985
Girona defence strength 0.986
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66