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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 28 Feb 2026

17:30

Venue

Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mallorca Win

49%

Mallorca

2.06

25%

Draw

4.03

27%

Real Sociedad

3.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.86

Mallorca xG

Total xG

3.20

1.34

Real Sociedad xG

49%
25%
27%
MallorcaDrawReal Sociedad

2.06

49%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

3.77

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.74

Clean Sheet

26%

Mallorca

3.82

16%

Real Sociedad

6.44

Win to Nil

13%

Mallorca

7.84

4%

Real Sociedad

24.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 5.4 3.6 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 7.6 10.1 6.8 3.0 1.0 0.3
2 7.1 9.5 6.3 2.8 0.9 0.3
3 4.4 5.9 3.9 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 2.0 2.7 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.863
λ Away (xG) 1.339
Total xG 3.202
League avg home goals 1.534
League avg away goals 1.128
Mallorca attack strength 1.149
Mallorca defence strength 1.170
Real Sociedad attack strength 1.015
Real Sociedad defence strength 1.057
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63