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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 12 Apr 2026

15:15

Venue

Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mallorca Win

52%

Mallorca

1.91

26%

Draw

3.90

22%

Rayo Vallecano

4.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Mallorca xG

Total xG

2.46

0.91

Rayo Vallecano xG

52%
26%
22%
MallorcaDrawRayo Vallecano

1.91

52%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

4.57

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

40%

Mallorca

2.47

21%

Rayo Vallecano

4.74

Win to Nil

21%

Mallorca

4.72

5%

Rayo Vallecano

21.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 7.7 3.5 1.1 0.2
1 13.3 12.0 5.4 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.3 9.3 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 5.3 4.8 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 2.1 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.555
λ Away (xG) 0.906
Total xG 2.461
League avg home goals 1.564
League avg away goals 1.121
Mallorca attack strength 1.054
Mallorca defence strength 1.059
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.763
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 0.943
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68