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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

17:30

Venue

Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mallorca Win

51%

Mallorca

1.98

25%

Draw

3.94

24%

Leganes

4.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

2 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Mallorca xG

Total xG

2.55

0.99

Leganes xG

51%
25%
24%
MallorcaDrawLeganes

1.98

51%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

4.16

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

37%

Mallorca

2.70

21%

Leganes

4.76

Win to Nil

19%

Mallorca

5.33

5%

Leganes

19.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 7.7 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 12.2 12.1 6.0 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.5 9.4 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.9 4.9 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 1.9 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.561
λ Away (xG) 0.992
Total xG 2.553
League avg home goals 1.338
League avg away goals 1.260
Mallorca attack strength 0.943
Mallorca defence strength 0.996
Leganes attack strength 0.790
Leganes defence strength 1.237
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 31