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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

15:15

Venue

Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mallorca Win

43%

Mallorca

2.34

31%

Draw

3.23

26%

Athletic Club

3.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

0 – 1

9.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Mallorca xG

Total xG

2.39

1.02

Athletic Club xG

43%
31%
26%
MallorcaDrawAthletic Club

2.34

43%

Home win

3.23

31%

Draw

3.81

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

36%

Mallorca

2.78

26%

Athletic Club

3.91

Win to Nil

15%

Mallorca

6.50

7%

Athletic Club

14.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 9.4 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 12.5 12.8 6.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.5 8.7 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.9 4.0 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.364
λ Away (xG) 1.023
Total xG 2.387
League avg home goals 1.400
League avg away goals 1.109
Mallorca attack strength 1.000
Mallorca defence strength 1.113
Athletic Club attack strength 0.829
Athletic Club defence strength 0.975
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57