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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

17:30

Venue

Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Alaves Win

28%

Mallorca

3.52

34%

Draw

2.90

37%

Alaves

2.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.3%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.94

Mallorca xG

Total xG

2.04

1.11

Alaves xG

28%
34%
37%
MallorcaDrawAlaves

3.52

28%

Home win

2.90

34%

Draw

2.69

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.34

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

33%

Mallorca

3.02

39%

Alaves

2.55

Win to Nil

9%

Mallorca

10.65

15%

Alaves

6.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.0 14.3 7.9 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 12.1 13.4 7.4 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 5.7 6.3 3.5 1.3 0.4 0.1
3 1.8 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.937
λ Away (xG) 1.106
Total xG 2.043
League avg home goals 1.452
League avg away goals 1.157
Mallorca attack strength 0.821
Mallorca defence strength 1.078
Alaves attack strength 0.887
Alaves defence strength 0.786
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44