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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 2 Mar 2025

17:30

Venue

Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mallorca Win

40%

Mallorca

2.48

25%

Draw

4.02

35%

Alaves

2.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 0

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Mallorca xG

Total xG

2.87

1.37

Alaves xG

40%
25%
35%
MallorcaDrawAlaves

2.48

40%

Home win

4.02

25%

Draw

2.87

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.38

Clean Sheet

25%

Mallorca

3.95

22%

Alaves

4.46

Win to Nil

10%

Mallorca

9.79

8%

Alaves

12.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 7.8 5.3 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 8.5 11.7 8.0 3.7 1.3 0.3
2 6.4 8.7 6.0 2.7 0.9 0.3
3 3.2 4.3 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.2 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.496
λ Away (xG) 1.373
Total xG 2.869
League avg home goals 1.441
League avg away goals 1.120
Mallorca attack strength 0.909
Mallorca defence strength 1.024
Alaves attack strength 1.197
Alaves defence strength 1.142
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63