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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Fri 31 Jan 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rayo Vallecano Win

26%

Leganes

3.83

30%

Draw

3.32

44%

Rayo Vallecano

2.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.7%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.3%

Draw

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.84

Leganes xG

Total xG

2.02

1.18

Rayo Vallecano xG

26%
30%
44%
LeganesDrawRayo Vallecano

3.83

26%

Home win

3.32

30%

Draw

2.28

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.55

61%

BTTS No

1.65

Clean Sheet

31%

Leganes

3.25

43%

Rayo Vallecano

2.31

Win to Nil

8%

Leganes

12.43

19%

Rayo Vallecano

5.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.3 15.7 9.2 3.6 1.1 0.3
1 11.2 13.1 7.7 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 4.7 5.5 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
3 1.3 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.838
λ Away (xG) 1.178
Total xG 2.016
League avg home goals 1.408
League avg away goals 1.170
Leganes attack strength 0.764
Leganes defence strength 1.265
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.796
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 0.779
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 21 / 59