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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Thu 24 Apr 2025

18:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Leganes Win

41%

Leganes

2.47

27%

Draw

3.74

33%

Girona

3.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

0 – 1

9.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Leganes xG

Total xG

2.53

1.18

Girona xG

41%
27%
33%
LeganesDrawGirona

2.47

41%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

3.06

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

31%

Leganes

3.26

26%

Girona

3.85

Win to Nil

12%

Leganes

8.03

9%

Girona

11.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 9.4 5.6 2.2 0.6 0.2
1 10.8 12.7 7.5 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.2 8.6 5.0 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.3 3.8 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.347
λ Away (xG) 1.181
Total xG 2.528
League avg home goals 1.323
League avg away goals 1.225
Leganes attack strength 0.842
Leganes defence strength 1.164
Girona attack strength 0.829
Girona defence strength 1.208
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 32 / 70