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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 22 Dec 2024

17:30

Venue

Estadio de Gran Canaria

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Las Palmas Win

59%

Las Palmas

1.70

23%

Draw

4.42

18%

Espanyol

5.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.83

Las Palmas xG

Total xG

2.74

0.91

Espanyol xG

59%
23%
18%
Las PalmasDrawEspanyol

1.70

59%

Home win

4.42

23%

Draw

5.43

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

40%

Las Palmas

2.49

16%

Espanyol

6.23

Win to Nil

24%

Las Palmas

4.22

3%

Espanyol

33.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 5.9 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 11.8 10.8 4.9 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.8 9.8 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 6.6 6.0 2.7 0.8 0.2
4 3.0 2.7 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.829
λ Away (xG) 0.912
Total xG 2.741
League avg home goals 1.428
League avg away goals 1.162
Las Palmas attack strength 0.924
Las Palmas defence strength 1.160
Espanyol attack strength 0.676
Espanyol defence strength 1.386
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 17