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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

17:30

Venue

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Villarreal Win

36%

Girona

2.78

26%

Draw

3.85

38%

Villarreal

2.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.4%

Away win

1 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Girona xG

Total xG

2.67

1.36

Villarreal xG

36%
26%
38%
GironaDrawVillarreal

2.78

36%

Home win

3.85

26%

Draw

2.63

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

26%

Girona

3.88

27%

Villarreal

3.72

Win to Nil

9%

Girona

10.79

10%

Villarreal

9.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 9.4 6.4 2.9 1.0 0.3
1 9.1 12.3 8.4 3.8 1.3 0.3
2 6.0 8.1 5.5 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 2.6 3.5 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.313
λ Away (xG) 1.357
Total xG 2.670
League avg home goals 1.374
League avg away goals 1.190
Girona attack strength 0.948
Girona defence strength 1.111
Villarreal attack strength 1.026
Villarreal defence strength 1.008
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72