Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Fri 20 Dec 2024

20:00

Venue

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Girona Win

71%

Girona

1.41

16%

Draw

6.25

13%

Valladolid

7.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.4%

Home win

3 – 1

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.65

Girona xG

Total xG

3.73

1.08

Valladolid xG

71%
16%
13%
GironaDrawValladolid

1.41

71%

Home win

6.25

16%

Draw

7.65

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

72%

Over 2.5

1.39

28%

Under 2.5

3.57

51%

Over 3.5

1.96

49%

Under 3.5

2.04

32%

Over 4.5

3.12

68%

Under 4.5

1.47

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.63

39%

BTTS No

2.59

Clean Sheet

34%

Girona

2.94

7%

Valladolid

14.22

Win to Nil

24%

Girona

4.14

1%

Valladolid

108.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.4 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.1
1 6.4 6.8 3.7 1.3 0.4 0.1
2 8.4 9.1 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 7.5 8.0 4.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 5.0 5.3 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 2.6 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.655
λ Away (xG) 1.078
Total xG 3.733
League avg home goals 1.416
League avg away goals 1.153
Girona attack strength 1.270
Girona defence strength 1.212
Valladolid attack strength 0.772
Valladolid defence strength 1.476
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 17