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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Fri 15 Aug 2025

18:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rayo Vallecano Win

34%

Girona

2.96

27%

Draw

3.70

39%

Rayo Vallecano

2.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.8%

Away win

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Girona xG

Total xG

2.49

1.30

Rayo Vallecano xG

34%
27%
39%
GironaDrawRayo Vallecano

2.96

34%

Home win

3.70

27%

Draw

2.55

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

27%

Girona

3.68

30%

Rayo Vallecano

3.29

Win to Nil

9%

Girona

10.86

12%

Rayo Vallecano

8.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 10.8 7.0 3.0 1.0 0.3
1 9.8 12.8 8.3 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 5.9 7.6 5.0 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.3 3.0 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.191
λ Away (xG) 1.302
Total xG 2.493
League avg home goals 1.430
League avg away goals 1.199
Girona attack strength 0.890
Girona defence strength 1.130
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.962
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 0.936
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38