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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Fri 1 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Girona Win

54%

Girona

1.84

24%

Draw

4.23

22%

Mallorca

4.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.74

Girona xG

Total xG

2.75

1.01

Mallorca xG

54%
24%
22%
GironaDrawMallorca

1.84

54%

Home win

4.23

24%

Draw

4.55

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

36%

Girona

2.76

18%

Mallorca

5.69

Win to Nil

20%

Girona

5.07

4%

Mallorca

25.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 6.5 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 11.1 11.2 5.7 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.6 9.8 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 5.6 5.7 2.9 1.0 0.2
4 2.4 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.739
λ Away (xG) 1.014
Total xG 2.753
League avg home goals 1.547
League avg away goals 1.136
Girona attack strength 0.974
Girona defence strength 1.078
Mallorca attack strength 0.829
Mallorca defence strength 1.155
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71