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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Mon 3 Feb 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Girona Win

48%

Girona

2.07

23%

Draw

4.37

29%

Las Palmas

3.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Girona xG

Total xG

3.17

1.35

Las Palmas xG

48%
23%
29%
GironaDrawLas Palmas

2.07

48%

Home win

4.37

23%

Draw

3.49

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.64

Clean Sheet

26%

Girona

3.88

16%

Las Palmas

6.17

Win to Nil

12%

Girona

8.01

5%

Las Palmas

21.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 5.7 3.8 1.7 0.6 0.2
1 7.6 10.3 7.0 3.2 1.1 0.3
2 6.9 9.4 6.4 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 4.2 5.7 3.9 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.9 2.6 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.819
λ Away (xG) 1.355
Total xG 3.174
League avg home goals 1.415
League avg away goals 1.130
Girona attack strength 1.171
Girona defence strength 1.177
Las Palmas attack strength 1.018
Las Palmas defence strength 1.098
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59