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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

13:00

Venue

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Girona Win

41%

Girona

2.42

23%

Draw

4.36

36%

Alaves

2.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 2

7.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

Girona xG

Total xG

3.31

1.59

Alaves xG

41%
23%
36%
GironaDrawAlaves

2.42

41%

Home win

4.36

23%

Draw

2.80

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.53

35%

BTTS No

2.89

Clean Sheet

20%

Girona

4.90

18%

Alaves

5.60

Win to Nil

8%

Girona

11.86

6%

Alaves

15.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 5.8 4.6 2.4 1.0 0.3
1 6.3 10.0 7.9 4.2 1.7 0.5
2 5.4 8.6 6.8 3.6 1.4 0.5
3 3.1 4.9 3.9 2.1 0.8 0.3
4 1.3 2.1 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.723
λ Away (xG) 1.590
Total xG 3.313
League avg home goals 1.412
League avg away goals 1.199
Girona attack strength 1.078
Girona defence strength 1.169
Alaves attack strength 1.135
Alaves defence strength 1.133
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67