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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 7 Dec 2025

17:30

Venue

RCDE Stadium

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Espanyol Win

43%

Espanyol

2.33

27%

Draw

3.68

30%

Rayo Vallecano

3.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Espanyol xG

Total xG

2.43

1.08

Rayo Vallecano xG

43%
27%
30%
EspanyolDrawRayo Vallecano

2.33

43%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

3.34

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

34%

Espanyol

2.94

26%

Rayo Vallecano

3.86

Win to Nil

15%

Espanyol

6.85

8%

Rayo Vallecano

12.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 9.5 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 11.9 12.8 6.9 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 8.0 8.7 4.7 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.6 3.9 2.1 0.8 0.2
4 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.350
λ Away (xG) 1.079
Total xG 2.429
League avg home goals 1.380
League avg away goals 1.123
Espanyol attack strength 0.984
Espanyol defence strength 1.058
Rayo Vallecano attack strength 0.908
Rayo Vallecano defence strength 0.994
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52