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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sat 9 May 2026

13:00

Venue

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Elche Win

49%

Elche

2.06

22%

Draw

4.50

29%

Alaves

3.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 2

7.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.91

Elche xG

Total xG

3.35

1.44

Alaves xG

49%
22%
29%
ElcheDrawAlaves

2.06

49%

Home win

4.50

22%

Draw

3.43

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.85

Clean Sheet

24%

Elche

4.22

15%

Alaves

6.73

Win to Nil

12%

Elche

8.69

4%

Alaves

23.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 5.1 3.6 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 6.7 9.7 7.0 3.3 1.2 0.3
2 6.4 9.2 6.6 3.2 1.1 0.3
3 4.1 5.9 4.2 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.9 2.8 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.907
λ Away (xG) 1.440
Total xG 3.347
League avg home goals 1.550
League avg away goals 1.165
Elche attack strength 1.033
Elche defence strength 1.110
Alaves attack strength 1.113
Alaves defence strength 1.191
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 72