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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sun 11 May 2025

17:30

Venue

San Mamés Barria

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Athletic Club Win

56%

Athletic Club

1.77

24%

Draw

4.16

20%

Alaves

5.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

2 – 0

10.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

Athletic Club xG

Total xG

2.58

0.89

Alaves xG

56%
24%
20%
Athletic ClubDrawAlaves

1.77

56%

Home win

4.16

24%

Draw

5.10

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

41%

Athletic Club

2.43

18%

Alaves

5.42

Win to Nil

23%

Athletic Club

4.30

4%

Alaves

27.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 6.7 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 12.9 11.4 5.0 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.9 9.6 4.3 1.3 0.3
3 6.1 5.4 2.4 0.7 0.2
4 2.6 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.690
λ Away (xG) 0.886
Total xG 2.576
League avg home goals 1.406
League avg away goals 1.197
Athletic Club attack strength 1.178
Athletic Club defence strength 0.707
Alaves attack strength 1.047
Alaves defence strength 1.020
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72