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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 13 Mar 2026

20:00

Venue

Estadio Mendizorrotza

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Villarreal Win

36%

Alaves

2.76

26%

Draw

3.81

38%

Villarreal

2.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

8.8%

Away win

1 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Alaves xG

Total xG

2.76

1.39

Villarreal xG

36%
26%
38%
AlavesDrawVillarreal

2.76

36%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

2.67

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

25%

Alaves

4.03

26%

Villarreal

3.92

Win to Nil

9%

Alaves

11.11

10%

Villarreal

10.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 8.8 6.2 2.9 1.0 0.3
1 8.7 12.1 8.4 3.9 1.4 0.4
2 5.9 8.2 5.7 2.7 0.9 0.3
3 2.7 3.7 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.365
λ Away (xG) 1.393
Total xG 2.758
League avg home goals 1.509
League avg away goals 1.143
Alaves attack strength 0.859
Alaves defence strength 1.070
Villarreal attack strength 1.138
Villarreal defence strength 1.053
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65