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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Alaves Win
38%
2.63
28%
3.51
33%
2.99
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.2%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
11.9%
Home win
0 – 1
11.0%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.20
Alaves xG
Total xG
2.31
1.11
Real Sociedad xG
AlavesDrawReal Sociedad
2.63
38%
Home win
3.51
28%
Draw
2.99
33%
Away win
Goals Markets
67%
Over 1.5
1.49
33%
Under 1.5
3.03
41%
Over 2.5
2.44
59%
Under 2.5
1.69
20%
Over 3.5
5.00
80%
Under 3.5
1.25
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
47%
BTTS Yes
2.13
53%
BTTS No
1.89
Clean Sheet
33%
3.03
30%
3.33
Win to Nil
13%
7.97
10%
9.96
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.9 | 11.0 | 6.1 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.9 | 13.2 | 7.3 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.2 | 7.9 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.203
λ Away (xG)
1.110
Total xG
2.313
League avg home goals
1.359
League avg away goals
1.123
Alaves attack strength
0.876
Alaves defence strength
0.928
Real Sociedad attack strength
1.064
Real Sociedad defence strength
1.011
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
52 / 52