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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 5 Apr 2026

20:00

Venue

Estadio Mendizorrotza

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Alaves Win

40%

Alaves

2.50

30%

Draw

3.34

30%

Osasuna

3.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

12.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Alaves xG

Total xG

2.09

0.95

Osasuna xG

40%
30%
30%
AlavesDrawOsasuna

2.50

40%

Home win

3.34

30%

Draw

3.33

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.39

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

39%

Alaves

2.58

32%

Osasuna

3.14

Win to Nil

16%

Alaves

6.45

10%

Osasuna

10.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.3 11.7 5.5 1.8 0.4 0.1
1 14.1 13.4 6.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.1 7.7 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 3.1 2.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.145
λ Away (xG) 0.949
Total xG 2.094
League avg home goals 1.558
League avg away goals 1.123
Alaves attack strength 0.836
Alaves defence strength 1.050
Osasuna attack strength 0.805
Osasuna defence strength 0.879
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67