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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

La Liga · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sat 24 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Competition

La Liga

Spain

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Alaves Win

37%

Alaves

2.74

34%

Draw

2.92

29%

Osasuna

3.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

18.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

16.8%

Home win

0 – 1

14.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.91

Alaves xG

Total xG

1.68

0.78

Osasuna xG

37%
34%
29%
AlavesDrawOsasuna

2.74

37%

Home win

2.92

34%

Draw

3.41

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

50%

Over 1.5

2.00

50%

Under 1.5

2.00

24%

Over 2.5

4.17

76%

Under 2.5

1.32

9%

Over 3.5

11.11

91%

Under 3.5

1.10

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

32%

BTTS Yes

3.11

68%

BTTS No

1.47

Clean Sheet

46%

Alaves

2.17

40%

Osasuna

2.47

Win to Nil

17%

Alaves

5.95

12%

Osasuna

8.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 18.6 14.4 5.6 1.5 0.3
1 16.8 13.1 5.1 1.3 0.3
2 7.6 5.9 2.3 0.6 0.1
3 2.3 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 0.5 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.905
λ Away (xG) 0.776
Total xG 1.681
League avg home goals 1.382
League avg away goals 1.161
Alaves attack strength 0.613
Alaves defence strength 0.747
Osasuna attack strength 0.894
Osasuna defence strength 1.068
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 75